Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Visa, Mastercard, PayPal, Fiserv and Global Payments

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• A resilient labor market, along with low layoffs and steady wages, may help sustain spending in the days ahead

  80% confidence

• Inflation and tariffs are tightening consumer budgets, which may inflict pressure on consumer spending despite being supported by a strong labor market and rising e-commerce

  80% confidence

• U.S. holiday retail sales, excluding autos, are anticipated to rise 3.6% year over year between Nov. 1–Dec. 24, 2025, slower than last season's 4.1% gain

  80% confidence

• The S&P 500 has rallied 12.4% in the same time frame

  80% confidence

• Cybersecurity costs are also surging due to rising threats of data theft and fraud, adding pressure to margins

  80% confidence

• The Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #153, which places it in the bottom 37% of more than 250 Zacks industries

  80% confidence

• While such investments should deliver long-term advantages, the near-term costs weigh on profitability and limit margin expansion for industry participants

  80% confidence

• Potential Fed rate cuts in 2025 expected to lower financing costs and further accelerate strategic expansion

  80% confidence

• The top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than two to one

  80% confidence

• High technology expenses are climbing as firms invest in next-gen solutions like crypto, biometrics and QR payments to stay competitive

  80% confidence

• The industry has declined 14.5% compared with the Business Services sector's decline of 13.9% in the past year

  80% confidence

• Technology costs are climbing as the worldwide move toward contactless payments keeps gaining momentum

  80% confidence

• A lower-rate environment should motivate companies to use more borrowing to fund M&A activities, helping them conserve cash while continuing to pursue expansion

  80% confidence

• The Financial Transaction Services industry is likely to benefit from growing cross-border transactions, enabling expansion of digital ecosystems and service capabilities

  80% confidence