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Source document· April 3, 2026

The Stock Market's "Trump Slump" Likely Isn't Over -- and There's a Big Reason Why

View original at nasdaq.com
The Stock Market's "Trump Slump" Likely Isn't Over -- and There's a Big Reason Why Key Points Although the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite soared during Donald Trump's first, non-consecutive term, they've all struggled mightily in recent weeks…
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  • All 107 rolling 20-year periods of S&P 500 total returns from 1900-2025 generated a positive annualized total return

    60% confidence

  • There's a glaring reason to believe that the ongoing 'Trump slump' in equities isn't over

    60% confidence

  • The five previous times in which the Shiller P/E exceeded 30 during a continuous bull market were eventually followed by declines of at least 20% in one or more of Wall Street's major stock indexes

    60% confidence

  • S&P 500 Shiller PE Ratio hits 2nd highest level in history. The highest was the Dot Com Bubble

    60% confidence

  • Every game-changing technology since the mid-1990s has endured an early innings bubble-bursting event, and it's unlikely that AI is the exception to this unwritten rule

    60% confidence

  • The trailing 12-month inflation rate is projected to jump from a reported 2.4% in February to 3.16% in March

    60% confidence

  • Regardless of whether the Iran war ends quickly or drags out, the inflationary effects will be felt for several quarters to come

    60% confidence

  • Approximately 20% of the world's liquid petroleum needs pass through the Strait of Hormuz daily

    60% confidence

  • The Fed's preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) moved up to 3.1% in January, the highest level in 22 months. That was the 59th consecutive reading above the Fed's 2% target level. There will be no Fed rate cut next week and one could make a strong case for a rate hike.

    60% confidence

  • Stock Advisor's total average return is 914% - a market-crushing outperformance compared to 184% for the S&P 500

    60% confidence

  • The average S&P 500 bull market has lasted approximately 3.5 times longer than the typical S&P 500 bear market, dating back to the start of the Great Depression in September 1929: 1,011 calendar days vs. 286 calendar days

    60% confidence
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Anthropic's Dario Amodei publicly called for a coordinated global slowdown in frontier AI development, a stance Microsoft echoed with a 'humanist' AI code of conduct, but Nvidia and Meta's CEOs rejected any coordinated pause days later, exposing a widening rift between safety-focused and growth-focused AI leaders. The dispute landed amid growing financial scrutiny of AI infrastructure spending — a hyperscaler capex analysis, FTC warnings against antitrust waivers for AI firms, and an 8.6% single-day stock drop in GE Vernova tied directly to the slowdown remarks — signaling investors are newly nervous about whether the AI capex boom (including Alphabet's projected $701B revenue narrative) can be justified if the pace of development itself becomes contested.
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Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
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ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
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