SpaceX guide: Everything you need to know about the biggest IPO in history

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• SpaceX reported $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue in its S-1 filing, a figure produced via common-control accounting that consolidates SpaceX, xAI, and X retroactively for all periods shown

  60% confidence

• Nasdaq 100 inclusion alone will generate approximately $8 billion in forced passive buying within the first month of SpaceX listing

  60% confidence

• SpaceX spent over two decades as a private company, accumulating more than $10 billion in venture capital funding while remaining almost entirely inaccessible to ordinary investors

  60% confidence

• Total passive fund purchases from Nasdaq 100 inclusion could potentially reach $30 billion

  60% confidence

• SpaceX allocated up to 30% of the IPO to retail investors — roughly triple the 5 to 10% standard for major public offerings

  60% confidence

• The combined SpaceX-xAI entity gives investors exposure to launch infrastructure, satellite broadband, and AI compute in a single instrument — a combination with no real precedent in public market history

  60% confidence

• The S-1 presents SpaceX, xAI, and X as a single entity for all periods shown including 2023 and 2024, even though the formal merger was only completed in February 2026

  60% confidence

• Demand for SpaceX IPO shares has reportedly reached $150 billion against $75 billion in available shares, implying 2x oversubscription

  60% confidence

• The SpaceX IPO will create approximately 4,000 new millionaires from senior executives to engineers and support staff who received equity over years of employment

  60% confidence

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