Citigroup Q4 Earnings on the Deck: How to Approach the Stock Now?

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• Management anticipates expenses to be higher than $53.4 billion, including the impacts of FX translation and excluding the goodwill impairment

  80% confidence

• The efficiency ratio is expected to be slightly less than 64%

  80% confidence

• Branded Cards net credit loss (NCL) is expected to be 3.50-4%

  80% confidence

• Citigroup expects revenues to cross $84 billion compared with the prior mentioned $84.1 billion

  80% confidence

• The transaction is expected to result in a pre-tax loss of $1.2 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025

  80% confidence

• The company is seeing continued momentum, particularly in M&A

  80% confidence

• The consensus estimate for earnings for the to-be-reported quarter has been revised downward to $1.65 over the past seven days, indicating a 23.1% rise from the prior-year quarter's actual

  80% confidence

• Management expects IB fees to increase in the mid-20s (percentage) year over year in the fourth quarter

  80% confidence

• Retail Services NCL is expected to be 5.75-6.25%

  80% confidence

• Management expects NII (excluding Markets) to rise 5.5% on a year-over-year basis

  80% confidence

• Citigroup expects market revenues to be down in the low to mid-single digit in the fourth quarter from a year ago

  80% confidence

• The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter sales is pegged at $20.94 billion, indicating a 6.9% year-over-year increase

  80% confidence

• Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 13.19%

  80% confidence

Data points we hold from this source