A SpaceX IPO could be the largest public offering of all time—and Elon Musk’s biggest headache
View original at finance.yahoo.com“An $800 billion tender offer would put SpaceX among the 20 most valuable public companies in the U.S., right alongside JPMorgan Chase, which has an $880 billion market cap”
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SpaceX has been cash flow positive for many years
80% confidenceThe SpaceX IPO will be the most anticipated and successful IPO ever
80% confidenceSpaceX's board is heavily weighted toward insiders and Musk loyalists; a meaningful expansion of truly independent board members is expected ahead of any listing
80% confidenceFinancing a multi-decade, industrial-scale road map simply doesn't map cleanly onto private fund structures
80% confidenceA $9 billion short position into Tesla was hurtful
80% confidenceSpaceX's board is heavily weighted toward insiders and Musk loyalists and would need meaningful expansion of truly independent board members ahead of any listing
80% confidenceSpaceX has effectively hit the ceiling of what private markets can support
80% confidenceMusk described a $9 billion short position in Tesla as hurtful
80% confidenceSpaceX will generate around $15 billion in revenue in 2025 and between $22 billion to $24 billion in 2026
80% confidenceThe SpaceX IPO will be the most anticipated and successful IPO ever
80% confidenceSpaceX has effectively hit the ceiling of what private markets can support
80% confidenceSpaceX has been cash flow positive for many years
80% confidenceSpaceX will generate around $15 billion in revenue in 2025
80% confidenceSpaceX will generate between $22 billion to $24 billion in revenue in 2026
80% confidenceThere is somewhere around $100 trillion to $150 trillion invested in global equities vs $2 trillion to $3 trillion available in private markets
80% confidenceMusk admitted the personal toll of Tesla vehicle vandalism and plummeting Tesla stock price
80% confidenceWhether and when a SpaceX IPO would take place is highly uncertain
80% confidenceSpaceX's CFO told employees that whether and when an IPO would take place was highly uncertain
80% confidenceAn impending tender offer will double SpaceX's valuation to approximately $800 billion
80% confidence